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Global Retail Development Index - 2016

Global Retail Development Index - 2016
RankCountryScoreRemarks
1China72.5China’s economic growth has slowed, yet the GRDI’s top-ranked country remains one of the most attractive global retail markets.
2India71GDP growth, improved ease of doing business, and better clarity regarding foreign direct investment (FDI) regulations put India in 2nd place.
3Malaysia59.6Malaysia is the most business-friendly environment among Southeast Asian countries ranked in the GRDI.
4Kazakhstan56.5Economists see retail as a source of economic growth amid low oil prices. The challenge is assuring investors that the country has the scale for long-term opportunities.
5Indonesia55.6Despite its relatively low retail sales per capita and currency volatility, Indonesia’s huge population and cities make it quite attractive to foreign retailers.
6Turkey54.3Turkey’s retail market remains attractive, with solid growth and untapped potential for concepts that could upend a market still dominated by traditional retailers.
7United Arab Emirates53.6The UAE remains an attractive and relatively low-risk market option for retailers.
8Saudi Arabia52.2Retail sales in the country grew by 5 percent over 2014, thanks largely to favorable demographic conditions.
9Peru51.9Peru is Latin America’s top-ranked country, as it performed above regional averages and had 3.6 percent GDP growth, well ahead of the overall region.
10Azerbaijan51.2The government has put effort into attracting tourists, advertising the capital Baku as a luxury destination.
11Vietnam50.8Vietnam has low market saturation and GDP growth that is highest among Southeast Asian countries in the GRDI.
12Sri Lanka50.7This island nation remains a favorable market for retail, thanks to a strong economy and few restrictions on foreign investment.
13Jordan49.9Jordan's high ranking is thanks in large part to a retail market that is fairly unsaturated relative to other developing countries.
14Morocco49.5A large and increasingly wealthy population, along with a relatively stable economic and political situation, puts Morocco in the upper half of the GRDI.
15Colombia49Colombia's middle class is growing, its poverty levels are falling, and its scores for country risk and market saturation are strong.
16Philippines47.7As the outsourcing industry helps boost the Philippines’ economic growth, long-term prospects for retail remain positive.
17Dominican Republic45.8Dominican Republic has a large population, an expanding middle class, and a vibrant economy.
18Algeria45.2Algeria’s strengths are pretty clear: a large population, one of Africa’s highest GDP per capita rates, and low retail saturation. But there are some risks.
19Nigeria43.8Sub-Saharan Africa’s most populous country offers global retailers many opportunities, including a fast-growing middle class.
20Brazil43Brazil’s 20th-place ranking highlights the political and economic instability that has rocked the country in the past year.
21Côte d’Ivoire43Côte d’Ivoire has enjoyed rapid economic growth over the past four years and relative political stability after a decade-long war.
22Russia41.8A weak but more stable ruble could help foreign retail chains developing new units and acquiring property, but the sales outlook will likely be middling at best.
23Zambia41.6Modern retail is limited even as more consumers demand it. The players that dominate the formal retail market are mostly South African.
24Romania40.2Although the country’s population is 45 percent rural, modern trade is developing fast. Major retailers are expanding aggressively with smaller formats.
25Paraguay39.6Landlocked Paraguay's fundamentals are stabilizing, with GDP growth at 3.2 percent in 2015, and inflation falling within target ranges.
26Tunisia38.7Tunisia's low market saturation and underserved population of 11 million represent a nice opportunity, particularly in grocery.
27South Africa36.7Sub-Saharan Africa’s most developed country has its most saturated retail market, representing 88 percent of the available space in the whole region.
28Ghana36Informal trade dominates, but rising disposable incomes are increasing the popularity of modern-style malls that offer one-stop shopping.
29Kenya35.6Kenya has Africa’s second-largest modern retail market, and its strength is reinforced by sound economic growth, and a growing and urbanizing middle class.
30Egypt34.7Egypt reenters the rankings for the first time since Arab Spring. As the country stabilizes, it offers an attractive medium-to-long-term value proposition for retailers.
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